2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen RHP TB
133 matchups scored · 15 game days
18 HRs Allowed
13.5% HR Rate (Pool)
21.8% Overall HR/FB
3.71 FIP
3.02 xFIP
+0.68 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.2
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
21.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
72.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.71
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
39th pctile
3.02
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.68
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
82th pctile
13.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
133
Pool Matchups
18
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
13.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 87.5mph 102.1mph 28.5° 392ft Down -2.4pp
Last 15 27 3 6 22.2% 2.0 92.1mph 104.8mph 31.2° 401ft Up +8.7pp
Last 30 54 6 7 13.0% 1.17 93.8mph 104.7mph 31.6° 396ft Flat -0.5pp
Batted-Ball Damage
112 tracked BBE from 133 pool matchups
97.3
113.2
81
0
105.3
30.3°
394
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-10 Caleb Durbin 107.7mph 101.2mph 33° 388ft Yes
2026-06-10 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 103.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Ceddanne Rafaela 102.9mph 102.9mph 24° 395ft Yes
2026-06-05 Kyle Stowers 105.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Javier Sanoja 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-30 Jo Adell 113.2mph 113.2mph 32° 431ft Yes
2026-05-30 Jorge Soler 109.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-30 Wade Meckler 105.5mph 105.5mph 29° 397ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
15 days · 18 total HRs
HRs Allowed
18 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-10 Ceddanne Rafaela #141 39 Tropicana Field 102.9mph 24.0° 395ft
2026-06-10 Caleb Durbin #185 30 Tropicana Field 101.2mph 33.0° 388ft
2026-05-30 Mike Trout #23 67 Tropicana Field 105.3mph 38.0° 417ft
2026-05-30 Jo Adell #104 51 Tropicana Field 113.2mph 32.0° 431ft
2026-05-30 Oswald Peraza #121 47 Tropicana Field 100.6mph 31.0° 380ft
2026-05-30 Wade Meckler #150 43 Tropicana Field 105.5mph 29.0° 397ft
2026-05-24 Aaron Judge #13 72 Yankee Stadium 103.9mph 34.0° 363.0ft
2026-05-11 Andrés Giménez #72 27 Rogers Centre 105.8mph 31.0° 401.0ft
2026-05-05 Kazuma Okamoto #29 57 Tropicana Field 107.9mph 23.0° 409.0ft
2026-04-24 Royce Lewis #85 58 Tropicana Field 103.5mph 34.0° 390.0ft
2026-04-24 Brooks Lee #147 45 Tropicana Field 101.0mph 26.0° 383.0ft
2026-04-18 Ryan O'Hearn #180 35 PNC Park 106.5mph 37.0° 379.0ft
2026-04-18 Marcell Ozuna #243 19 PNC Park 103.9mph 24.0° 387.0ft
2026-04-12 Aaron Judge #12 67 Tropicana Field 108.9mph 31.0° 415.0ft
2026-04-07 Pete Crow-Armstrong #62 46 Tropicana Field 108.3mph 27.0° 389.0ft
2026-04-01 Brice Turang #35 39 American Family Field 104.9mph 24.0° 392.0ft
2026-03-26 Alec Burleson #79 37 Busch Stadium 109.0mph 32.0° 432.0ft
2026-03-26 Brendan Donovan #120 32 Busch Stadium 103.9mph 36.0° 353.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Cutter 371 33.3% -1.8 79.9 11.8° 2
Fastball 297 26.6% +0.4 82.7 23.8° 5
Sinker 243 21.8% -3.7 80.5 12.0° 1
Changeup 119 10.7% +0.7 82.5 -8.7° 0
Curveball 51 4.6% -3.8 83.3 19.8° 0
Sweeper 34 3.0% +1.6 86.5 27.2° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
72.3%
72.3%
All Scored Matchups
133 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-10 Mickey Gasper #204 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #201 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Caleb Durbin #185 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-10 Masataka Yoshida #171 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Ceddanne Rafaela #141 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-10 Wilyer Abreu #97 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Andruw Monasterio #96 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Jarren Duran #60 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Willson Contreras #25 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Javier Sanoja #222 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Jakob Marsee #210 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Joe Mack #188 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Xavier Edwards #160 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Otto Lopez #146 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Owen Caissie #136 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Liam Hicks #99 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Kyle Stowers #97 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Esteury Ruiz #21 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Sebastián Rivero #248 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Donovan Walton #236 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Wade Meckler #150 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-30 Oswald Peraza #121 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-30 Vaughn Grissom #112 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Jo Adell #104 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-30 Jorge Soler #79 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Zach Neto #38 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Mike Trout #23 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-24 José Caballero #203 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Ryan McMahon #149 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #138 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Cody Bellinger #116 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Trent Grisham #108 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Austin Wells #91 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Paul Goldschmidt #35 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Aaron Judge #13 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-24 Ben Rice #5 76 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 jazz chisholm #212 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 josé caballero #198 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 ryan mcmahon #153 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 trent grisham #124 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 austin wells #114 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 cody bellinger #113 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 paul goldschmidt #37 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 aaron judge #13 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 ben rice #7 78 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Christopher Morel #267 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Jakob Marsee #192 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Kyle Stowers #191 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Leo Jiménez #188 34 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-17 Xavier Edwards #184 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Connor Norby #177 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Otto Lopez #156 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Liam Hicks #132 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Owen Caissie #87 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Nathan Lukes #73 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Andrés Giménez #72 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-11 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #71 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 Davis Schneider #66 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 Jesús Sánchez #59 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 Daulton Varsho #55 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 George Springer #52 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Ernie Clement #50 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Kazuma Okamoto #41 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Davis Schneider #205 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Andrés Giménez #160 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Ernie Clement #159 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Nathan Lukes #148 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #147 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Daulton Varsho #123 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 George Springer #99 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Jesús Sánchez #49 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Kazuma Okamoto #29 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-29 Travis Bazzana #240 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Kyle Manzardo #229 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Bo Naylor #220 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Steven Kwan #219 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Brayan Rocchio #207 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Chase DeLauter #142 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Angel Martínez #128 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 José Ramírez #113 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Daniel Schneemann #84 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Victor Caratini #196 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Austin Martin #165 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Trevor Larnach #162 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Matt Wallner #156 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Brooks Lee #147 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-24 Kody Clemens #93 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Tristan Gray #86 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Royce Lewis #85 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-24 Byron Buxton #60 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Spencer Horwitz #260 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Nick Gonzales #257 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Nick Yorke #253 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Marcell Ozuna #243 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-18 Konnor Griffin #240 20 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-18 Ryan O'Hearn #180 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-18 Bryan Reynolds #179 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Brandon Lowe #134 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Oneil Cruz #59 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 José Caballero #80 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Ryan McMahon #42 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Cody Bellinger #33 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Trent Grisham #20 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #19 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Aaron Judge #12 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-12 Ben Rice #6 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Nico Hoerner #228 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Carson Kelly #101 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Kyle Tucker #93 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Dansby Swanson #91 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Pete Crow-Armstrong #62 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-07 Matt Shaw #59 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Ian Happ #39 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Michael Busch #37 51 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Seiya Suzuki #28 48 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-01 Joey Ortiz #197 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Caleb Durbin #144 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Sal Frelick #135 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Isaac Collins #98 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Jackson Chourio #48 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 William Contreras #47 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Rhys Hoskins #38 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Brice Turang #35 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-01 Christian Yelich #3 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Victor Scott II #140 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Masyn Winn #134 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Brendan Donovan #120 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-26 Lars Nootbaar #112 33 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-26 Nolan Arenado #105 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Alec Burleson #79 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-26 Nolan Gorman #61 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Willson Contreras #39 42 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-26 Ivan Herrera #19 40 ⚪ D · — ·

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